{"id":3457,"date":"2026-11-03T10:56:16","date_gmt":"2026-11-03T10:56:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/?p=3457"},"modified":"2026-11-03T11:00:33","modified_gmt":"2026-11-03T11:00:33","slug":"ethiopia-eyes-1-6-trillion-economy-by-2050-economist-says-citing-goldman-sachs-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/ethiopia-eyes-1-6-trillion-economy-by-2050-economist-says-citing-goldman-sachs-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Ethiopia Eyes $1.6 Trillion Economy by 2050, Economist Says, Citing Goldman Sachs Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>AMECO AFRICA<\/p>\n<p>Addis Ababa, 3 November 2026. <em><strong>Once a wheat importer reliant on aid, the country is now being likened to &#8220;Africa&#8217;s China,&#8221; says economist Zemedeneh Negatu<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>A country that once depended on imported wheat and aid is now projected to join the world&#8217;s largest economies. Ethiopia&#8217;s gross domestic product (GDP) is set to reach $1.6 trillion by 2050, according to a long-term forecast by the New York-based investment bank Goldman Sachs, economist Zemedeneh Negatu has said.<\/p>\n<p>In an interview with the Ethiopian Broadcasting Corporation (EBC), Zemedeneh said Ethiopia has been registering remarkable growth since undertaking macroeconomic and financial structural reforms.<\/p>\n<p>Citing International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections, he noted that Ethiopia is the world&#8217;s second-fastest-growing economy. He said the country is recording GDP growth of 9.2 percent, more than double the African average of 4.2 percent.<\/p>\n<p>Zemedeneh said the Goldman Sachs forecast indicates that by 2075 Ethiopia will become one of the world&#8217;s 20 largest economies, reaching $6.2 trillion and ranking alongside Saudi Arabia, T\u00fcrkiye, Italy and Canada.<\/p>\n<p>He explained that, although Ethiopia&#8217;s population (138 million) is smaller than China&#8217;s, the country is being called &#8220;Africa&#8217;s China&#8221; because of its capable, hardworking young workforce and affordable energy supply.<\/p>\n<p>He noted that Ethiopia, once a wheat importer dependent on aid, has become self-sufficient in wheat production and is moving toward exporting it.<\/p>\n<p>The economist said the government is securing sustainable growth by prioritizing five key competitive sectors: agriculture, manufacturing, natural resources, tourism and technology. He added that, in terms of foreign direct investment (FDI), Ethiopia has consistently remained among Africa&#8217;s top five recipient countries over the past five years.<\/p>\n<p>Precious minerals such as gold, potash and natural gas, the wide-ranging services of Ethiopian Airlines, and the engagement of the diaspora community hold significant potential for generating foreign currency, he said.<\/p>\n<p>However, he stated that the lack of sea access is costing Ethiopia an estimated $40 billion to $60 billion a year in GDP impact, and stressed that this problem must be resolved in a lasting way.<br \/>\nThe punch line, as Zemedeneh put it: Ethiopia&#8217;s path to prosperity, built on homegrown economic reform and the Medemer philosophy, is winning international recognition.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; AMECO AFRICA Addis Ababa, 3 November 2026. Once a wheat importer reliant on aid, the country is now being likened to &#8220;Africa&#8217;s China,&#8221; says economist Zemedeneh Negatu A country that once depended on imported wheat and aid is now projected to join the world&#8217;s largest economies. Ethiopia&#8217;s gross domestic product (GDP) is set to [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":3459,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"amp_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,497],"tags":[],"yst_prominent_words":[1356,427,48,588],"class_list":["post-3457","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-featured","category-world-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3457"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3461,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3457\/revisions\/3461"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3459"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3457"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3457"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3457"},{"taxonomy":"yst_prominent_words","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ameco.et\/english\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/yst_prominent_words?post=3457"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}